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economics

Global Risk Report - 2008

by: Into The Woods

Wed Jan 23, 2008 at 19:52:15 PM EST

They're at it again in Davos, Switzerland.  The World Economic Forum is in session.

The Who's Who of the Who's Who gathering to talk about what's what.

I am always interested in their annual Global Risk Report.  It never fails to provide some real insight, even if it's focus wanders from where I would like it to be.

After just a quick skim, I think this year is a mixed bag. While pandemic risk is not highlighted, important aspects of a pandemic are discussed.

There's More... :: (48 Comments, 100 words in story)

Prepping on the cheap

by: Greenmom

Mon Jun 04, 2007 at 12:51:32 PM EDT

Prepping for pandemic flu-or other disasters, on a limited budget.
There's More... :: (42 Comments, 663 words in story)

62 Million Deaths Predicted During the Coming Pandemic: Hogwash

by: The Doctor

Tue Jan 16, 2007 at 10:45:15 AM EST

A scholarly article was published recently in the prestigious medical journal, The Lancet and is available here:  http://www.birdfluma...

The authors concluded that during the 1918 Spanish Influenza 50% of the variance in death rates was related to socioeconomic class.  In essence, the higher the class the lower the death rates seen in 1918.  This epidemiologic study of the Spanish Flu provides some of the most well researched data about the last major pandemic that has been published to date. For this exemplary work, the authors deserve our appreciation.  That said the authors' extrapolation of their findings from 1918 to the present and their prediction that a similarly severe pandemic occurring today would result in approximately 62 million deaths worldwide is a faulty use of the data.  While the 1918 pandemic is the best model we have for the coming pandemic should it be as severe as I think it will be the world is not at all the same.  This difference results in a significant underestimate of the number of deaths occurring from the coming pandemic in both the developed and underdeveloped nations. 

Grattan WOodson, MD, FACP

There's More... :: (70 Comments, 103 words in story)
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